Monday, November 13, 2017

#StrongerTogether ! "Democrats Win Phase One of Redistricting Wars In Virginia...giving it a foothold in the 2020 mapping game"



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"Democrats Win Phase One of the Redistricting Wars

In the crucial state of Virginia, wins by the party in the governor’s mansion and the state legislature give it a foothold in the 2020 mapping game.

After Virginia, the Democratic Party is breathing a sigh of relief. The rather easy victory for Governor-elect Ralph Northam stems the tide of recent hemorrhaging of key positions across the United States to Republicans, and continues Democrats’ control over a blue-ish state. Northam’s victory, and that of Justin Fairfax, the second black official elected in a statewide race in Virginia, also offers a sign that virulent and race-baiting white-identity politics—politics that characterize the Trump era and the late portion of Republican Ed Gillespie’s campaign—are beatable, even in the cradle of the old Confederacy.

Those signs are reason enough for Democrats to celebrate. But the true national significance of Northam’s victory, as well as of major gains by the party in the General Assembly, might not be in the message they send, but the fact that those gains constitute the first big victory for Democrats in the political mapmaking game in at least a decade.

Republican hegemony in the decennial political-redistricting game is well documented. The competition to control just who draws each state’s political maps has taken shape as an arms race, with Republicans capturing the advantage over the past 20 years through a combination of technology, big data, expertise, and electoral strategy. 

The result has been a set of some of the most contentious—and legally challenged—racial and political gerrymanders in history. Bu

t despite the controversy, Republican strength has also increased, as target states where Republicans gained control of the mapmaking process in 2010 saw their share of legislative seats steadily grow, even as their actual vote shares decreased. In other words, these maps helped Republicans retain majorities even when they earned substantially fewer votes.

… Via the well-known redmap project, Republicans spent millions in legislative and governors’ races in those states, resulting in huge Republican gains, and also in Republican control over the 2011 redistricting process, which in turn engendered more Republican gains.

While not one of the core successes of redmap, Virginia was always a priority in long-term strategy.

 For one, the architect of redmap was Ed Gillespie, the former Republican State Leadership Council leader whom Northam beat yesterday... "

(Emphasis is mine! ^^^)

"With Republicans running the same playbook in REDMAP 2020, and Democrats countering with a well-funded redistricting scheme of their own, the National Democratic Redistricting Committee (NDRC), the 2017 Virginia election was both the first and one of the most important battlegrounds between the two efforts.

 According to Kelly Ward, the executive director of the NDRC, “a good portion of the Democratic disadvantage in Congress boils down to seven states,” many of which have seats and governorships on the table in 2018. “You have Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Florida, Virginia, and Pennsylvania,” Ward says. “If Democrats can win those seats, then we have a seat at the table during the redistricting process.”

What Ward’s group needed to block a power play by Republicans in Virginia was a win in the governor’s mansion or at least a stalemate in the statehouse. She might’ve gotten both and more. Northam’s single term will take him through the redistricting cycle. With somewhere between 15 and 19 seats flipped in the state legislature (pending recounts), Democrats might even control the House of Delegates for now, while Republicans still hold a slim advantage in the state Senate.

 But the real test again comes in 2019, when all of the seats in both the House of Delegates and the Senate will be up for grabs in a final round of jockeying for mapmaking. ... “

You can read more here

And 

( you can learn more about the referenced National Democratic Redistricting Committee and let them know you are with them here )


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Curated by Gail Mountain, with occasional personal commentary, Network For #StrongerTogether ! is not affiliated with The Democratic Party in any capacity. This is an independent blog and the hope is you will, at a glance, learn more about the Party and you will, with a click or two, also take action on its behalf as it is provided!

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